With a pair of stuttering offenses that are complemented by stout defenses, especially in the red zone of late, betting against touchdowns is a great angle in this prime-time game. With Andy Dalton in control, the offense has run dry with just 50 points over the last four games. Only 396 total passing yards were gained in the early-season meeting, which also had Jameis Winston under center. These two teams played each other in Week 2 in a game that saw just three TDs which were all scored in the fourth quarter, and one of them was scored by the defense. New Orleans is also getting healthier on defense with Marshon Lattimore back at practice (hasn’t played since Week 5) and linebacker and leading solo-tackler Pete Werner trending towards playing. Tampa has scored more than two TDs just once over its last seven games, while the Saints have been held to one or fewer TDs in three of their last four. When you have two teams who are in the Bottom 10 in scoring and are combining for just 30.3 total points over the last three weeks, we shouldn’t be expecting many touchdowns Monday. Add in New Orleans’ elite red zone defense, and we could certainly see some drives stalling out Monday. The Saints have also been struggling to get six points as they own a 42.8% scoring percentage inside the 20, which is the fifth-worst mark over the last three weeks. Tampa has struggled to score inside the 20 and has the league’s fifth-worst red-zone scoring percentage at 50%. This is a low-risk play, and I’m putting only 0.15 units on the first and last TD to win over four units.Īdam Trautman Prop: F irst touchdown ( +2,800 at bet365) and last touchdown ( +2,800 at bet365) This is a low-probability play but coupled with a low-total game, it might be more beneficial for bettors to double up on his first and last TD, which are priced at +2,800 each, instead of just his straight TD market. Trautman has 15 targets over his last seven games, so he isn’t a nobody in this offense and has one TD this year. Johnson was priced at +366 to score last week, and if he is ruled out, Trautman’s number will certainly drop. Getting ahead of the market here is key when taking these longshot touchdown bets, as Trautman is +650 to score, with some books already at +400. Not participating during portion of Saints practice open to media Thursday: RT Ryan Ramczyk (typical rest day), TE Juwan Johnson, WR Kevin White, DE Payton Turner, DE Kentavius Street, DT Malcolm Roach, CB Bradley Roby, DB PJ Williams, S JT GrayĪs it stands, Adam Trautman would benefit the most with Johnson doubtful to suit up. Unfortunately for the offense, he was a DNP on Thursday, and his catchless performance last week might indicate an in-game injury vs. Tight end Juwan Johnson has totaled five touchdowns over the Saints’ last six games, which equates to 28% of the team’s total points over that stretch. Saints vs Buccaneers MNF props Juwan-a longshot? Also, check out our full list of NFL promo codes for 2022. Looking to bet on some NFL action? Here are two of the best bonuses* available:Ī) New users at FanDuel can get a no-sweat first bet of up to $1,000! Sign Up Nowī) New users at DraftKings can bet $5 and get $150 in free bets! Sign Up Now
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